{"id":152,"date":"2025-11-16T16:51:52","date_gmt":"2025-11-16T08:51:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/futureblock.live\/?p=152"},"modified":"2025-11-16T16:51:53","modified_gmt":"2025-11-16T08:51:53","slug":"%e5%9b%9e%e6%b5%8b%e7%b3%bb%e5%88%97%ef%bc%9aema%e5%8f%8c%e5%9d%87%e7%ba%bf%e7%ad%96%e7%95%a5","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/futureblock.live\/?p=152","title":{"rendered":"\u56de\u6d4b\u7cfb\u5217\uff1aEMA\u53cc\u5747\u7ebf\u7b56\u7565"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u6458\u8981<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>\u672c\u7814\u7a76\u5bf9\u4e00\u4efdEMA(9, 21)\u7b56\u7565\u7684365\u5929\u56de\u6d4b\u6570\u636e\u8fdb\u884c\u4e86\u5b9e\u8bc1\u68c0\u9a8c\u3002\u8be5\u6570\u636e\u6db5\u76d65\u79cd\u52a0\u5bc6\u8d44\u4ea7\uff08BTC, ETH, SOL, BNB, DOGE\uff09\u548c5\u79cd\u65f6\u95f4\u6846\u67b6\u3002\u4f20\u7edf\u7684\u7ee9\u6548\u8bc4\u4f30\uff08TPA\uff09\u4f1a\u8bd5\u56fe\u4ece\u6570\u636e\u4e2d\u5bfb\u627e\u201c\u6700\u4f18\u7ec4\u5408\u201d\uff08\u4f8b\u5982ETH\u57281\u5929\u5468\u671f\u7684+70.94%\uff09\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u672c\u62a5\u544a\u91c7\u7528<strong>\u98ce\u9669\u4e0e\u8106\u5f31\u6027\uff08Fragility\uff09\u7684\u89c6\u89d2\u8fdb\u884c\u5206\u6790\uff0c\u8ba4\u4e3a\u8be5\u6570\u636e\u96c6\u6240\u63ed\u793a\u7684\u4e0d\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u7b56\u7565\u7684\u6709\u6548\u6027\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u6a21\u578b\u5728\u73b0\u5b9e\u6469\u64e6\u9762\u524d\u7684\u6781\u7aef\u8106\u5f31\u6027<\/strong>\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u7814\u7a76\u53d1\u73b0\uff0c\u8be5\u7b56\u7565\u572825\u4e2a\u6d4b\u8bd5\u5355\u5143\u4e2d\u8868\u73b0\u51fa\u5267\u70c8\u7684\u5f02\u8d28\u6027\uff0812\u80dc13\u8d1f\uff09\uff0c\u8fd9\u672c\u8eab\u5c31\u662f\u6a21\u578b\u8106\u5f31\u7684\u4fe1\u53f7\u3002\u5c24\u5176\u662f15\u5206\u949f\u5468\u671f\u7684\u7cfb\u7edf\u6027\u5d29\u6e83\uff085\u4e2a\u6807\u7684\u4e2d4\u4e2a\u5de8\u4e8f\uff09\uff0c\u8bc1\u660e\u4e86\u8be5\u6a21\u578b\u5728\u9762\u5bf9\u201c\u73b0\u5b9e\u4e16\u754c\u201d\u7684\u566a\u97f3\u548c\u6469\u64e6\uff08\u624b\u7eed\u8d39\uff09\u65f6\u4f1a\u7acb\u523b\u5931\u6548\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u4efb\u4f55\u8bd5\u56fe\u4ece\u8be5\u6570\u636e\u4e2d\u201c\u4f18\u5316\u201d\u5e76\u63d0\u53d6\u201c\u5723\u676f\u201d\u7684\u884c\u4e3a\uff0c\u90fd\u6784\u6210\u4e86\u201c\u5362\u8fea\u8c2c\u8bba\u201d\uff08Ludic FallCacy\uff09<strong>\uff0c\u662f\u4e00\u79cd\u8ba4\u77e5\u4e0a\u7684<\/strong>\u533b\u6e90\u6027\u635f\u4f24\uff08Iatrogenics\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">1. \u201c\u8bc1\u7269A\u201d\uff1a\u88ab\u6d4b\u7b56\u7565\u7684\u201c\u5b8c\u7f8e\u201d\u4ee3\u7801<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4e00\u5207\u5206\u6790\u59cb\u4e8e\u8fd9\u4e2a\u6a21\u578b\u3002\u8fd9\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u5728Pine Script v5\u4e2d\u5b9e\u73b0\u7684\u3001\u6559\u79d1\u4e66\u822c\u5b8c\u7f8e\u7684EMA(9, 21)\u201c\u53ea\u505a\u591a\u201d\u7b56\u7565\u3002\u5b83\u903b\u8f91\u6e05\u6670\u3001\u4ee3\u7801\u7b80\u6d01\uff0c\u662f\u6bcf\u4e00\u4e2a\u91cf\u5316\u4ea4\u6613\u521d\u5b66\u8005\u90fd\u4f1a\u5199\u51fa\u7684\u201c\u7406\u6027\u201d\u4ee3\u7801\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<pre class=\"wp-block-code\"><code>\/\/@version=5\nstrategy(\"EMA Golden Cross (Long Only) Strategy\", \n         overlay=true, \n         default_qty_type=strategy.percent_of_equity, \n         default_qty_value=100)\n\n\/\/ ======== 1. \u8f93\u5165 (Inputs) ========\n\/\/ \u5141\u8bb8\u7528\u6237\u5728\u8bbe\u7f6e\u4e2d\u66f4\u6539EMA\u7684\u5468\u671f\u548c\u4ef7\u683c\u6765\u6e90\nfast_length = input.int(12, title=\"Fast EMA Length\", minval=1)\nslow_length = input.int(26, title=\"Slow EMA Length\", minval=1)\nprice_source = input.source(close, title=\"Source\")\n\n\/\/ ======== 2. \u8ba1\u7b97 (Calculations) ========\n\/\/ \u8ba1\u7b97\u5feb\u901f\u548c\u6162\u901fEMA\nfast_ema = ta.ema(price_source, fast_length)\nslow_ema = ta.ema(price_source, slow_length)\n\n\/\/ ======== 3. \u7b56\u7565\u903b\u8f91 (Strategy Logic) ========\n\/\/ \u5b9a\u4e49\u5165\u573a\u6761\u4ef6\uff1a\u91d1\u53c9\n\/\/ ta.crossover() \u4f1a\u5728 fast_ema \u521a\u4e0a\u7a7f slow_ema \u7684\u90a3\u4e00\u6839K\u7ebf\u4e0a\u8fd4\u56de true\nentry_condition = ta.crossover(fast_ema, slow_ema)\n\n\/\/ \u5b9a\u4e49\u51fa\u573a\u6761\u4ef6\uff1a\u6b7b\u53c9\n\/\/ ta.crossunder() \u4f1a\u5728 fast_ema \u521a\u4e0b\u7a7f slow_ema \u7684\u90a3\u4e00\u6839K\u7ebf\u4e0a\u8fd4\u56de true\nexit_condition = ta.crossunder(fast_ema, slow_ema)\n\n\/\/ ======== 4. \u6267\u884c (Execution) ========\n\/\/ \u5f53\u91d1\u53c9\u6761\u4ef6\u6ee1\u8db3\u65f6\uff0c\u6267\u884c\u5165\u573a\nif (entry_condition)\n    \/\/ strategy.entry \u4f1a\u5728\u5df2\u6709\u4ed3\u4f4d\u65f6\u53cd\u5411\u5f00\u4ed3\uff0c\u4f46\u6211\u4eec\u8fd9\u91cc\u53ea\u505a\u591a\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u5b83\u4f1a\u5f00\u4e00\u4e2a\u591a\u5355\n    \/\/ \u6211\u4eec\u7ed9\u8fd9\u4e2a\u8ba2\u5355\u4e00\u4e2aID \"Enter Long\"\n    strategy.entry(\"Enter Long\", strategy.long)\n\n\/\/ \u5f53\u6b7b\u53c9\u6761\u4ef6\u6ee1\u8db3\u65f6\uff0c\u6267\u884c\u51fa\u573a\nif (exit_condition)\n    \/\/ strategy.close \u4f1a\u5e73\u6389\u6307\u5b9aID\u7684\u8ba2\u5355\n    \/\/ \u6211\u4eec\u5e73\u6389 \"Enter Long\" \u8fd9\u4e2aID\u7684\u4ed3\u4f4d\n    strategy.close(\"Enter Long\", comment=\"Exit Long\")\n\n\/\/ ======== 5. \u7ed8\u56fe (Plotting) ========\n\/\/ \u5728\u56fe\u8868\u4e0a\u7ed8\u5236EMA\u7ebf\uff0c\u65b9\u4fbf\u89c2\u5bdf\nplot(fast_ema, title=\"Fast EMA\", color=color.new(color.blue, 0), linewidth=2)\nplot(slow_ema, title=\"Slow EMA\", color=color.new(color.orange, 0), linewidth=2)<\/code><\/pre>\n\n\n\n<p>\u8fd9\u4e2a\u4ee3\u7801\u672c\u8eab\u6ca1\u6709\u9519\u3002<strong>\u9519\u8bef\u5728\u4e8e\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\uff08\u9519\u8bef\u5730\uff09\u5047\u8bbe\u8fd9\u4e2a\u65e0\u83cc\u5b9e\u9a8c\u5ba4\u91cc\u7684\u201c\u6a21\u578b\u201d\u80fd\u591f\u6beb\u53d1\u65e0\u4f24\u5730\u5728\u73b0\u5b9e\u4e16\u754c\u7684\u201c\u751f\u6001\u201d\u4e2d\u8fd0\u884c\u3002<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">2. \u5f15\u8a00\uff1a\u4f5c\u4e3a\u201c\u706b\u9e21\u6570\u636e\u201d\u7684\u56de\u6d4b<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>\u6211\u4eec\u62ff\u6765\u4e86\u8fd9\u4efd\u7531\u4e0a\u8ff0\u4ee3\u7801\u751f\u6210\u7684\u56de\u6d4b\u6570\u636e\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"367\" src=\"https:\/\/futureblock.live\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/1763282658-\u622a\u5c4f2025-11-16-16.43.24-1024x367.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-153\" srcset=\"https:\/\/futureblock.live\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/1763282658-\u622a\u5c4f2025-11-16-16.43.24-1024x367.png 1024w, https:\/\/futureblock.live\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/1763282658-\u622a\u5c4f2025-11-16-16.43.24-300x108.png 300w, https:\/\/futureblock.live\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/1763282658-\u622a\u5c4f2025-11-16-16.43.24-768x275.png 768w, https:\/\/futureblock.live\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/1763282658-\u622a\u5c4f2025-11-16-16.43.24-1536x551.png 1536w, https:\/\/futureblock.live\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/1763282658-\u622a\u5c4f2025-11-16-16.43.24-2048x735.png 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"786\" src=\"https:\/\/futureblock.live\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/1763282675-\u622a\u5c4f2025-11-16-16.43.33-1024x786.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-154\" srcset=\"https:\/\/futureblock.live\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/1763282675-\u622a\u5c4f2025-11-16-16.43.33-1024x786.png 1024w, https:\/\/futureblock.live\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/1763282675-\u622a\u5c4f2025-11-16-16.43.33-300x230.png 300w, https:\/\/futureblock.live\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/1763282675-\u622a\u5c4f2025-11-16-16.43.33-768x590.png 768w, https:\/\/futureblock.live\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/1763282675-\u622a\u5c4f2025-11-16-16.43.33-1536x1179.png 1536w, https:\/\/futureblock.live\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/1763282675-\u622a\u5c4f2025-11-16-16.43.33.png 1852w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4e00\u4e2a\u5929\u771f\u7684\u5206\u6790\u5e08\uff08\u6216\u8005\u8bf4\uff0c\u4e00\u53ea\u201c\u611f\u6069\u8282\u7684\u706b\u9e21\u201d\uff09\u4f1a\u67e5\u770b\u8fd9\u4efd\u62a5\u544a\uff0c\u6ce8\u610f\u5230ETH\u57281\u5929\u5468\u671f\u4e0a+70.94%\u7684\u6536\u76ca\uff0c\u6216\u8005BNB\u5728\u591a\u4e2a\u5468\u671f\u4e0a\u7684\u201c\u7a33\u5065\u201d\u8868\u73b0\uff08+32%\u81f3+36%\uff09\uff0c\u5e76\u5f97\u51fa\u7ed3\u8bba\uff1a\u201c\u7b56\u7565\u6709\u6548\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u53ea\u9700\u8981\u9009\u62e9\u6b63\u786e\u7684\u6807\u7684\u548c\u5468\u671f\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u8fd9\u79cd\u601d\u7ef4\u662f\u81f4\u547d\u7684\u3002\u8fd9\u4efd365\u5929\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u5c31\u662f\u706b\u9e21\u5728\u611f\u6069\u8282\u524d\u4e00\u5929\u6240\u4f9d\u8d56\u7684\u201c\u5386\u53f2\u6570\u636e\u201d\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u7684\u5047\u8bbe\u662f\uff1a<strong>\u8fd9\u4efd\u6570\u636e\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u4ef7\u503c\uff0c\u4e0d\u662f\u4e3a\u4e86\u9884\u6d4b\u672a\u6765\uff08\u5b83\u505a\u4e0d\u5230\uff09\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u4e3a\u4e86\u66b4\u9732\u7b56\u7565\u5728\u538b\u529b\u4e0b\u7684\u201c\u975e\u7ebf\u6027\u7f3a\u9677\u201d\u2014\u2014\u5373\u201c\u8106\u5f31\u6027\u201d\u3002<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">3. \u5b9e\u8bc1\u5206\u6790\uff1a\u8106\u5f31\u6027\u7684\u91cf\u5316\u75c7\u72b6<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>\u6211\u4eec\u4e0d\u5173\u5fc3\u201c\u5e73\u5747\u6536\u76ca\u201d\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5173\u5fc3\u201c\u4f24\u5bb3\u201d\u3002\u8106\u5f31\u6027\u4f53\u73b0\u5728\uff0c\u5f53\u7cfb\u7edf\u7684\u67d0\u4e2a\u8f93\u5165\uff08\u5982\u65f6\u95f4\u5468\u671f\u6216\u8d44\u4ea7\uff09\u53d1\u751f\u5fae\u5c0f\u53d8\u5316\u65f6\uff0c\u5176\u8f93\u51fa\uff08\u635f\u76ca\uff09\u662f\u5426\u4f1a\u53d1\u751f\u4e0d\u6210\u6bd4\u4f8b\u7684\u707e\u96be\u6027\u53d8\u5316\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">3.1 \u75c7\u72b6\u4e00\uff1a15\u5206\u949f\u5468\u671f\u7684\u201c\u6bc1\u706d\u57df\u201d<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p>\u6700\u80fd\u8bf4\u660e\u95ee\u9898\u7684\u4e0d\u662f\u6700\u5927\u76c8\u5229\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u6700\u5927\u4e8f\u635f\u3002\u572815\u5206\u949f\u5468\u671f\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>DOGE: -53.80%<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>BTC: -26.8%<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>SOL: -26.82%<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>BNB: -8.45%<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>(ETH: +45.27%)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>5\u4e2a\u6807\u7684\u4e2d\uff0c4\u4e2a\u5f55\u5f97\u7cfb\u7edf\u6027\u5de8\u4e8f\u3002\u8fd9\u5e76\u975e\u201c\u8868\u73b0\u4e0d\u4f73\u201d\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u201c\u6bc1\u706d\u57df\u201d\uff08Domain of Ruin\uff09\u3002\u5b83\u544a\u8bc9\u6211\u4eec\uff0c\u5f53\u6a21\u578b\uff08\u8bc1\u7269A\uff09\u66b4\u9732\u5728\u66f4\u9ad8\u9891\u7387\u7684\u566a\u97f3\u548c\u66f4\u9891\u7e41\u7684\u6469\u64e6\uff080.03%\u7684\u624b\u7eed\u8d39\u88ab\u53cd\u590d\u89e6\u53d1\uff09\u4e2d\u65f6\uff0c\u5b83\u4f1a\u7acb\u523b\u5d29\u6e83\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u552f\u4e00\u7684\u5e78\u5b58\u8005ETH (+45.27%) \u6070\u6070\u662f\u6700\u5927\u7684\u9677\u9631\u3002<\/strong> \u8fd9\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u5178\u578b\u7684**\u201c\u88ab\u968f\u673a\u6027\u611a\u5f04\u201d\uff08Fooled by Randomness\uff09**\u7684\u6848\u4f8b\u3002\u5b83\u8bf1\u4f7f\u4ea4\u6613\u8005\u76f8\u4fe1\u5728\u9ad8\u9891\u4e2d\u5b58\u5728\u5723\u676f\uff0c\u800c\u5b9e\u9645\u4e0a\u5b83\u53ea\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u5e78\u8fd0\u7684\u201c\u9ed1\u5929\u9e45\u201d\uff08\u6b63\u9762\u610f\u4e49\u4e0a\u7684\uff09\u2014\u2014\u4e00\u4e2a\u5728\u672a\u6765\u6781\u4e0d\u53ef\u80fd\u590d\u5236\u7684\u8def\u5f84\u4f9d\u8d56\u7ed3\u679c\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">3.2 \u75c7\u72b6\u4e8c\uff1a\u5267\u70c8\u5f02\u8d28\u6027\u4e0e\u201c\u66f2\u7ebf\u62df\u5408\u201d<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4e00\u4e2a\u5f3a\u97e7\uff08Robust\uff09\u7684\u7b56\u7565\uff0c\u5176\u8868\u73b0\u5728\u4e0d\u540c\u6807\u7684\u548c\u5468\u671f\u4e0a\u5e94\u5177\u6709\u67d0\u79cd\u7a0b\u5ea6\u7684\u4e00\u81f4\u6027\u3002\u800c\u6211\u4eec\u770b\u5230\u7684\u662f\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>BTC vs BNB\uff1a<\/strong> \u7b56\u7565\u5728BTC\uff08\u5e02\u573a\u57fa\u51c6\uff09\u4e0a\u51e0\u4e4e\u5b8c\u5168\u5931\u6548\uff1b\u5374\u5728BNB\u4e0a\u201c\u4f3c\u4e4e\u201d\u5f88\u6709\u6548\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>15m vs 30m\uff1a<\/strong> \u5468\u671f\u4ece15\u5206\u949f\uff08DOGE -53.80%\uff09\u53d8\u4e3a30\u5206\u949f\uff08DOGE +8.82%\uff09\uff0c\u7ed3\u679c\u5929\u5dee\u5730\u522b\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u8fd9\u4e0d\u662f\u201c\u9002\u914d\u6027\u201d\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f\u201c\u8fc7\u62df\u5408\u201d\uff08Curve-Fitting\uff09\u3002<\/strong> \u8fd9\u8868\u660eEMA(9, 21)\u6839\u672c\u4e0d\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u201c\u7b56\u7565\u201d\uff0c\u5b83\u53ea\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a<strong>\u6070\u597d<\/strong>\u5728\u8fc7\u53bb365\u5929\u91cc\u4e0eBNB\u7684\u7279\u5b9a\u6ce2\u52a8\u8def\u5f84\u76f8\u543b\u5408\u7684\u201c\u63cf\u8ff0\u5668\u201d\u3002\u4f60\u5e76\u6ca1\u6709\u627e\u5230\u4e00\u4e2a\u80fd\u9884\u6d4bBNB\u7684\u5de5\u5177\uff1b\u4f60\u53ea\u662f\u5728\u4e8b\u540e\u63cf\u8ff0\u4e86BNB\u7684\u8f68\u8ff9\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">4. \u8ba8\u8bba\uff1a\u533b\u6e90\u6027\u635f\u4f24\u4e0e\u201c\u4f18\u5316\u201d\u7684\u9677\u9631<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>\u8fd9\u4efd\u62a5\u544a\u771f\u6b63\u7684\u5371\u9669\uff0c\u4e0d\u5728\u4e8eDOGE\u7684-53.80%\u4e8f\u635f\uff08\u8fd9\u5f88\u660e\u663e\uff09\uff0c\u800c\u5728\u4e8eETH\u7684+70.94%\u76c8\u5229\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u540e\u8005\u4f1a\u8bf1\u53d1\u4e00\u79cd**\u201c\u533b\u6e90\u6027\u635f\u4f24\u201d\uff08Iatrogenics\uff09**\u2014\u2014\u5206\u6790\u5e08\uff08\u5eb8\u533b\uff09\u8bd5\u56fe\u901a\u8fc7\u201c\u4f18\u5316\u201d\u6765\u201c\u6cbb\u6108\u201d\u8fd9\u4e2a\u7b56\u7565\u3002\u4ed6\u4eec\u4f1a\u544a\u8bc9\u4f60\uff1a\u201c\u522b\u752815\u5206\u949f\u56fe\uff0c\u75281\u5929\u56fe\uff1b\u522b\u78b0BTC\uff0c\u53bb\u4e70ETH\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u8fd9\u79cd\u201c\u4f18\u5316\u201d\u7684\u5efa\u8bae\uff0c\u6bd4\u539f\u59cb\u7684\uff08\u65e0\u6548\uff09\u7b56\u7565\u672c\u8eab\u66f4\u6709\u5bb3\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ol start=\"1\" class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>\u5362\u8fea\u8c2c\u8bba\uff08Ludic Fallacy\uff09\uff1a<\/strong> \u5b83\u8ba9\u4f60\u8bef\u4ee5\u4e3a\u4ea4\u6613\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u89c4\u5219\u6e05\u6670\u3001\u6982\u7387\u5df2\u77e5\u7684\u201c\u6e38\u620f\u201d\uff08\u5982\u8fd9\u4efd\u56de\u6d4b\u62a5\u544a\uff09\uff0c\u800c\u73b0\u5b9e\u4e16\u754c\u5374\u662f\u6df7\u4e71\u3001\u6ed1\u70b9\u672a\u77e5\u3001\u4e14\u5145\u6ee1\u201c\u9ed1\u5929\u9e45\u201d\u7684\u3002\u4f60\u90a30.03%\u7684\u624b\u7eed\u8d39\u5047\u8bbe\uff0c\u5728\u5e02\u573a\u5267\u70c8\u6ce2\u52a8\u65f6\u6839\u672c\u4e0d\u582a\u4e00\u51fb\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u706b\u9e21\u95ee\u9898\uff08The Turkey Problem\uff09\uff1a<\/strong> \u4f60\u5728ETH\u76841\u5929\u56fe\u4e0a\u627e\u5230\u4e86\u201c\u5723\u676f\u201d\uff0c\u4f60\u662f\u5728\u5047\u8bbe\u7b2c366\u5929\u4f1a\u548c\u8fc7\u53bb365\u5929\u4e00\u6837\u3002\u800c\u6070\u6070\u662f\u5728\u7b2c366\u5929\uff0c\u611f\u6069\u8282\uff08\u90a3\u4e2a\u5bfc\u81f4\u4f60\u6a21\u578b\u5d29\u6e83\u7684\u7a81\u53d1\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff09\u5c06\u4f1a\u5230\u6765\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">5. \u7ed3\u8bba\uff1a\u4e00\u4efd\u201c\u5207\u80a4\u4e4b\u75db\u201d\u7684\u5206\u6790<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>\u8fd9\u4efd\u56de\u6d4b\u6570\u636e\u4f5c\u4e3a\u4e00\u4efd\u201c\u8106\u5f31\u6027\u5730\u56fe\u201d\u662f\u6709\u4ef7\u503c\u7684\u3002\u5b83\u5411\u6211\u4eec\u5c55\u793a\u4e86\u4e00\u4e2a\u6a21\u578b\uff08\u8bc1\u7269A\uff09\u5728\u4f55\u5904\u3001\u4ee5\u4f55\u79cd\u65b9\u5f0f\u5d29\u6e83\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>\u7ed3\u8bba1\uff1a<\/strong> EMA(9, 21)\u7b56\u7565\u662f<strong>\u8106\u5f31\u7684<\/strong>\u3002\u5b83\u5bf9\u65f6\u95f4\u5468\u671f\u3001\u8d44\u4ea7\u7279\u6027\u548c\u4ea4\u6613\u6210\u672c\u9ad8\u5ea6\u654f\u611f\uff0c\u4ee5\u81f3\u4e8e\u5728\u73b0\u5b9e\u6469\u64e6\uff0815\u5206\u949f\u56fe\uff09\u4e2d\u7acb\u5373\u5931\u6548\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u7ed3\u8bba2\uff1a<\/strong> \u6240\u6709\u7684\u6b63\u6536\u76ca\uff08\u5982ETH\u3001BNB\uff09\u90fd\u5e94\u88ab\u89c6\u4e3a\u201c\u968f\u673a\u6027\u7684\u4ea7\u7269\u201d\u548c\u201c\u8def\u5f84\u4f9d\u8d56\u201d\u7684\u7ed3\u679c\uff0c\u4e0d\u5177\u6709\u4efb\u4f55\u9884\u6d4b\u80fd\u529b\u3002\u5b83\u4eec\u662f\u566a\u97f3\uff0c\u4e0d\u662f\u4fe1\u53f7\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4f5c\u4e3a FutureBlock Research\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5448\u73b0\u8fd9\u4efd\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u4e0d\u662f\u4e3a\u4e86\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e00\u4e2a\u53ef\u4ee5\u201c\u6284\u4f5c\u4e1a\u201d\u7684\u201c\u6700\u4f18\u53c2\u6570\u201d\u3002\u6070\u6070\u76f8\u53cd\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u662f\u5728\u5c55\u793a\u201c\u5207\u80a4\u4e4b\u75db\u201d\uff08Skin in the Game\uff09\u7684\u5fc5\u8981\u6027\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u771f\u6b63\u7684\u98ce\u9669\uff0c\u5728\u4e8e\u90a3\u4e9b\u770b\u4e86\u8fd9\u4efd\u62a5\u544a\uff0c\u5e76\u76f8\u4fe1\u53ef\u4ee5\u901a\u8fc7\u201c\u4f18\u5316\u201d\u53bb\u590d\u5236ETH\u7684+70.94%\u7684\u4eba\u3002<\/strong> \u4ed6\u4eec\u6b63\u5728\u627f\u62c5100%\u7684\u98ce\u9669\uff0c\u800c\u4ed6\u4eec\u6240\u4f9d\u636e\u7684\uff0c\u53ea\u4e0d\u8fc7\u662f\u706b\u9e21\u5728\u611f\u6069\u8282\u524d\u4e00\u5929\u7684\u665a\u9910\u8bb0\u5f55\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u6458\u8981 \u672c\u7814\u7a76\u5bf9\u4e00\u4efdEMA(9, 21)\u7b56\u7565\u7684365\u5929\u56de\u6d4b\u6570\u636e\u8fdb\u884c\u4e86\u5b9e\u8bc1\u68c0\u9a8c\u3002\u8be5\u6570\u636e\u6db5\u76d65\u79cd\u52a0\u5bc6\u8d44\u4ea7\uff08BTC, ETH, SOL,  &#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":53,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"emotion":"","emotion_color":"","title_style":"","license":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[7],"class_list":["post-152","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-trade","tag-trade"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/futureblock.live\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/152","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/futureblock.live\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/futureblock.live\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/futureblock.live\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/futureblock.live\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=152"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/futureblock.live\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/152\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":155,"href":"https:\/\/futureblock.live\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/152\/revisions\/155"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/futureblock.live\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/53"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/futureblock.live\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=152"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/futureblock.live\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=152"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/futureblock.live\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=152"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}